“The institutional investor 7”
Image extraction: DALL・E2
Warning:
The buying/selling listed on this page is not a recommendation to buy or sell the listed stocks, currencies, or crypto assets. It only publishes the results automatically calculated by the computing machine, and has no further meaning or purpose.
In summary…
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Week of March 11 – 15, 2024,
SPX500: buy
USD/JPY: sell
EUR/USD: buy
BTC/USD: buy
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Results…
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SPX500：
（open：5132.10 – close：5122.75）
USD/JPY：（open：147.00 – close：149.06）
EUR/USD：（open：1.0931 – close：1.0887）
BTC/USD：（open：69415.00 – close：67810.00）
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ChatGPT (ChatGPT4+Browsing) answer (*excerpt):
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SPX500
First, according to recent analyses, the S&P 500 (SPX) is on an upward trend, with many investors investing in this index over a long period, driving up the price. This indicates positive market developments, with further rises anticipated. However, such analyses heavily rely on technical aspects and must be cautious about sudden fluctuations due to market fundamentals and external factors.
Goldman Sachs forecasts that the return on the S&P 500 in 2024 is expected to be about 6%, suggesting stable yet modest growth compared to the performance over the past few years. Their analysis is based on fundamentals such as economic growth outlooks and stock valuations, recognized as supporting factors for potential market increases.
Considering this information, it seems reasonable to take a buying position in SPX500 at the beginning of next week. The current market uptrend and the prospects for stable growth seem to provide positive trading opportunities. However, the market is always filled with uncertainties, and situations can change due to external factors or sudden economic news, necessitating careful risk management and position monitoring.
Ultimately, investment strategies should always be flexibly adjusted based on the latest market data, news, and economic indicators. And, this analysis is based on the current market outlook, with strategies subject to change due to future market fluctuations.
(Referenced: dailyfx.com, goldmansachs.com)
USD/JPY
In devising a trading strategy for USD/JPY, we focus on current market analyses and economic indicators, especially the monetary policies of the central banks of the USA and Japan. Recent analyses for 2024 suggest that USD/JPY movements will be significantly affected by decisions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). Speculation about the BoJ ending its negative interest rate policy (NIRP) is rising, which could contribute to a decline in USD/JPY.
Looking back at past economic forecasts, many market participants at the beginning of 2023 were expecting the BoJ to raise interest rates, which would have led to a significant drop in USD/JPY if realized. However, as time passed, these forecasts were revised, and the market began adopting a more cautious stance. In particular, if US 5-year Treasury yields fall, USD/JPY could drop below 130.00.
Based on these analyses, considering a selling position for USD/JPY seems appropriate. Reasons include potential changes in the BoJ’s interest rate policy and uncertainties in US economic indicators. There are several analyses predicting a decline in USD/JPY, suggesting an increase in the value of the yen. However, markets are highly uncertain, especially with unpredictable elements in central bank policy decisions, requiring careful risk management and position monitoring.
Ultimately, this strategy is based on currently available information and analyses, and it could change with future economic news or policy announcements. Therefore, it’s important to stay updated on market trends and adjust strategies flexibly.
(Referenced: dailyfx.com, actionforex.com)
EUR/USD
In planning a trading strategy for EUR/USD next week, we focus on current market analyses and economic indicators, especially those related to the European Central Bank (ECB) and economic data from the United States.
According to the latest analyses, EUR/USD could see increased volatility. Strong economic growth in the US and similar inflation rates across the Atlantic could lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts by the ECB, potentially boosting EUR/USD. Recently, EUR/USD reached a 7-week high, but it has entered a consolidation phase below 1.0950 as market focus shifts to the February employment report.
EUR/USD trends will be significantly influenced by upcoming major macroeconomic events, including US consumer confidence surveys. An improvement in risk appetite has maintained EUR/USD above the 200-day average, partly supported by the ECB’s resistance to early rate cuts. ECB’s Christine Lagarde has suggested that rate cuts before the summer are unlikely.
Considering this information, taking a buying position for EUR/USD next week seems advisable. Reasons include market reactions to ECB policies and US economic data. However, markets are very volatile, especially before significant economic events, necessitating careful risk management and position monitoring.
Ultimately, this strategy is based on currently available information and analyses, and it could change with future economic news or policy announcements. Therefore, staying updated on market trends and flexibly adjusting strategies is crucial.
(Referenced: dailyfx.com, forex.com)
BTC/USD
According to the latest information, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has announced the approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds). This approval has allowed major financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity to enter the digital asset space, significantly impacting Bitcoin’s price, which has risen by 70% since October.
Factors that could affect Bitcoin’s price include the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024. Past halving events, which cut Bitcoin block rewards in half, have tended to result in price increases. The halving reduces the pace of new Bitcoin supply, theoretically contributing to price increases by increasing scarcity.
Considering this information, contemplating a buying position for BTC/USD next week seems reasonable. The ease of investment due to ETF approvals and fundamental factors like the supply reduction from the halving could support further price increases for Bitcoin. However, markets are highly volatile, and unexpected news or events could rapidly change the situation, requiring careful risk management and position monitoring.
Investment strategies should always be flexibly adjusted based on the latest market data, news, and economic indicators. This analysis is based on the current market outlook, with strategies subject to change due to future market fluctuations.
(Referenced: finance.yahoo.com, tipranks.com)
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Extraction date & time:
20240310 19:55
This time, I had the most difficulty eliciting a response in recent times. It hesitated over EUR/USD and initially didn’t use the latest information for BTC/USD (it used information from before the approval of Bitcoin ETFs). When this was pointed out, it seems like the site was browsed to get the information, but that made the response feel slightly odd. However, there’s no doubt that the responses are much smoother now than they were about a year ago, which is a significant improvement.
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