Page Creation Date: 2025.04.20
Last Updated: 2025.04.20
Backtest 015: 4-Hour Chart Trend Following 1
Environment:
・The daily Bollinger Bands are in the zone that aligns with the intended direction.
・The 4-hour chart is trending.
Entry: Confirm support/resistance flip sequentially on the 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute charts.
Exit: Exit at a major resistance/support level on the 4-hour chart (not necessarily the most recent one).
Stop Loss: -20 pips / Move the stop-loss to breakeven after a 20-pip gain.
・The dates and times of the backtesting results are GMT+2.
Note:
・Do not exit until the trade progresses 20 pips from entry.
Example: 2023.03.22 10:00 (GMT+2)
Results
Notes:
EUR/USD:
・Usability: YES.
・Profit Factor (PF): 13.13
Gained: 3414.30 pips, Lost: 260 pips, Break-even trades: 19.00% (19/100)、（*2017.9 – 2025.2, approximately 7 years and 6 months）
・Win rate: 68.00% (68/100)
・Trading opportunities: 1.11 times/month。min.: 0 time/month (2025.2 etc) max.: 5 times/month (2024.8)
・Maximum drawdown: 2 times (-40 pips、2021.08.18 – 2021.09.21, including break-even exits, stop losses continue for a maximum of 2 times in a row.)
