1. ChatGPT economic forcast

October 2nd ~ 6th, 2023: economic forcast measurement resumes with the revival of ChatGPT’s browsing function. – ChatGPT Economic Forecasts

The action that selling and buying stocks with chart. Henri Matisse tasted 1

“The action that selling and buying stocks with chart 1”
Image extraction: DALL・E2

Warning:

The buying/selling listed on this page is not a recommendation to buy or sell the listed stocks, currencies, or crypto assets. It only publishes the results automatically calculated by the computing machine, and has no further meaning or purpose.

In summary…

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Week of October 02 – 06, 2023,
SPX500: sell
USD/JPY: buy
EUR/USD: sell
BTC/USD: sell
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Results…

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SPX500:icon-right(open:4315.45 – close:4313.63)
USD/JPY:icon-wrong(open:149.58 – close:149.28)
EUR/USD:icon-right(open:1.0567 – close:1.0583)
BTC/USD:icon-wrong(open:27102.76 – close:27982.50)
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ChatGPT (ChatGPT4+Browsing) answer (*excerpt):

"Regarding SPX500 (S&P 500):
Economic Indicators: It is crucial to check significant economic indicators and corporate performance reports scheduled to be released at the beginning of the week. Whether these indicators exceed or fall short of market expectations can potentially impact the movements of the S&P 500.
Policy Trends: The policies of central banks and government economic policies can also affect market movements. In particular, fluctuations in interest rates and changes in fiscal spending may potentially impact stock indices.
International Situations: Global political and economic tensions and conflicts have the potential to cause market instability, which could potentially affect the movements of the S&P 500.
Amidst concerns about interest rate hikes and political unrest, the market has been experiencing fluctuations. Considering recent trends in the SPX500, a cautious approach might be leaning. Anticipating volatility in October, in the short term, there may be a bearish outlook for the SPX500. However, it is crucial to closely monitor market indicators, the announcement of economic data, and political trends that may influence market psychology.
Based on the above analysis, it may be decided to sell the SPX500 at the beginning of next week. Considering market uncertainty and potential volatility, a conservative approach might be wise.

Regarding USD/JPY (Dollar/Yen):
Interest Rate Differential: The difference in interest rates between the United States and Japan is a crucial factor affecting the movements of the currency pair. A rise in interest rates can potentially increase the value of a currency.
Economic Data: Economic data from both countries, especially inflation rates, unemployment rates, and GDP growth rates, impact the value of the currency.
Political Stability: The political stability of both countries and their international relations may also potentially influence the movements of the currency pair.
The USD/JPY pair is often influenced by various factors, including the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) and the Bank of Japan, global risk sentiment, and economic data from both countries. Recent inflation data, the interest rate environment, and geopolitical tensions might play a crucial role in determining the direction of the USD/JPY. To make well-informed decisions, it is essential to keep a close eye on the economic calendar, statements from central banks, and global geopolitical trends.
Considering economic indicators, central bank policies, and global risk sentiment, a decision might be made to buy. As the movements of currency pairs are influenced by many factors, it is important to closely monitor market trends and economic data, and crucial to adjust strategies based on that.

Regarding EUR/USD (Euro/Dollar):
Interest Rate Differential: The difference in interest rates between the United States and Europe can potentially affect the price of the EUR/USD. The currency from the region with the higher interest rate tends to appreciate in value.
Economic Data: Economic indicators from both regions, especially GDP growth rates, unemployment rates, and inflation rates, may potentially influence the movements of the currency pair.
Political Stability and Geopolitical Risk: Political stability and geopolitical risk can also potentially affect the movements of the currency pair. Politically unstable situations could negatively impact currency value.
Central Bank Policy: Policies of the Federal Reserve System (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) can have a significant impact on currency values. Especially, Quantitative Easing (QE) and interest rate changes are crucial.
Considering several fundamental factors and market conditions, a decision might be made to sell the EUR/USD at the beginning of next week. This would be based on various factors, such as the interest rate environment in the United States, economic data, and global risk sentiment.

Regarding BTC/USD (Bitcoin/Dollar):
Bitcoin is a highly volatile and unpredictable asset, and its price can be influenced by many different factors. Below are some key factors to consider when contemplating the price movements of BTC/USD.
Regulatory Trends: Regulation of cryptocurrencies can significantly impact the price of Bitcoin. Announcements from regulatory authorities and the introduction of new laws may affect market confidence and the price of Bitcoin.
Mining Costs and Activities: The cost and activity of mining Bitcoin could potentially influence market supply and pricing.
Investor Sentiment: Investor sentiment can significantly impact Bitcoin’s price movements. Positive sentiment may push the price up, while negative sentiment could drive it down.
Market Liquidity: The liquidity of the Bitcoin market could affect price volatility and ease of trading.
Macroeconomic Environment: The global economic environment and financial market trends may also influence Bitcoin’s price.
Regarding the BTC/USD pair, recent analyses indicate that there remain bearish technical risks, so from a personal perspective, it might be preferable to sell. This is due to weakening buying pressure and indications of further declines."

Extraction date & time:

20231001 00:35

The browsing function of ChatGPT4, which had been halted since the second week of July 2023, finally resumed at the end of September. After the revival of the browsing function, I felt that ChatGPT’s responses changed. It has become much more cautious in its answers, and unless it is pressed quite hard, it doesn’t clearly convey certainty, nor does it clearly state “sell/buy.” Also, it has started to frequently repeat disclaimers like “this is not investment advice.” …That’s how I felt, but according to ChatGPT, “The model itself does not update its learning data, so it does not evolve or learn over time.” The variation in input, context, and randomness seem to be the reasons for this.

In any case, for the sake of ChatGPT’s reputation, I will repeat on this site that the ChatGPT economic forcast on this site is purely for entertainment. The answers are being forcibly drawn out, so the above quote also omits “… (omission) …” for readability. As stated at the beginning of the text, it’s an “excerpt.”

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