{"id":1134,"date":"2023-12-19T16:50:58","date_gmt":"2023-12-19T15:50:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inv.jp\/?p=1134"},"modified":"2025-09-03T17:50:03","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T15:50:03","slug":"o009","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o009\/","title":{"rendered":"Investment assumption series summary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;State of emergency&#8221;<br \/>\nImage extraction: DALL\u30fbE2<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"style4a\">Investment assumption series entries:<\/h4>\n<p>1. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o004\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">I\u2019ve considered potential investment destinations in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o005\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">I tried to envision investment opportunities in the event of hyperinflation in Japan<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>3. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o006\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">I tried to consider investment options in the event of a global pandemic<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>4. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o007\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Considering Investment Opportunities in the Event of a Third World War<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>5. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o008\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Anticipating Investment Opportunities in the Event of a Major Earthquake in Japan<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>6. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o011\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Considering investment destinations in the event of a global financial crisis<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>7. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o013\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Considering Investment Destinations in the Event of a Global Depression<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>8. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/uncategorized\/o017\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Considering potential investment destinations in the event of a civil war in America<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style3a\">About investment assumption series<\/h3>\n<p>Whether it&#8217;s a war where many lives are mercilessly taken or a major disaster, from an investment perspective, it&#8217;s just one event.<\/p>\n<p>Then, we measure the investment methods and timing that seem to maximize profits from that event.<\/p>\n<p>To the general public, this may seem like a cold and inhumane approach and behavior, and in some ways, it is indeed so.<\/p>\n<p>For example, upon hearing news of Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine, one might first check the products Ukraine exports or rush to check the situation with Russia&#8217;s currency.<\/p>\n<p>Although it pains me to see the tragic situation on the ground, that is separate from investment.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s inevitable to be seen as a cold-hearted miser.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style3a\">The rigor of investment activities<\/h3>\n<p>However, in engaging in investment activities, where calmness or rather a &#8220;normal state of mind&#8221; is necessary, one has to get used to such perspectives, thoughts, and actions.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a term &#8220;occupational hazard,&#8221; and for investors, it&#8217;s precisely this kind of reaction and mindset.<\/p>\n<p>Though it might sound like an excuse, it&#8217;s true that without grabbing opportunities where one can, it&#8217;s impossible to continue in investment activities.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;Here, when I talk about investment activities, I mean investing as a full-time job, not including casual index investing.<\/p>\n<p>I do some index investing myself, and that&#8217;s certainly a respectable form of investment, but it doesn&#8217;t apply when one is aiming for annual returns of several tens of percent, like a typical investor.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style3a\">The importance of anticipating investment<\/h3>\n<p>When the market drastically changes, whether or not to trade in the so-called &#8220;fiery market&#8221; varies among investors. Everyone&#8217;s approach is quite different.<\/p>\n<p>In my case, I avoid day trading unless it&#8217;s an extraordinary situation.<\/p>\n<p>For day trading, it&#8217;s fine to wait at points verified during normal times.<\/p>\n<p>For long-term investments, one cannot always just watch; there are situations where taking a strong position for portfolio defense is necessary.<\/p>\n<p>Once you have a portfolio, whether it&#8217;s stocks or bonds, you&#8217;re already participating in the market.<\/p>\n<p>In such a state, if a \u25cb\u25cb Shock occurs, one must think about how to respond. This &#8220;Investment Assumption&#8221; series is an attempt to consider such scenarios, even if just briefly.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style3a\">The fortune of being able to invest during \u25cb\u25cb shocks<\/h3>\n<p>Being able to invest means not being in a country or area affected by a disaster or conflict, and that&#8217;s a situation to be grateful for.<\/p>\n<p>The important thing is to ensure that one is not physically or mentally caught up in such disasters or conflicts.<\/p>\n<p>For example, during the Great East Japan Earthquake, I was living in Tokyo and working as a salaryman. I was shocked when the building I was working in swayed centrifugally on the day of the earthquake, and like many others working in Tokyo, I became a stranded commuter.<\/p>\n<p>After that, I stayed in Tokyo, scared of being exposed to radiation from the nuclear meltdown.<\/p>\n<p>At that time, I hadn&#8217;t started investing, but if I had, I wouldn&#8217;t have been in the right frame of mind.<\/p>\n<p>Maintaining a normal state of mind for investment means being physically distant from such disasters or conflicts and mentally able to take a step back and view the event objectively.<\/p>\n<p>If the situation is something I&#8217;ve already anticipated or similar, it&#8217;s easier to maintain a normal state of mind.<\/p>\n<p>So, I plan to continue adding to the series whenever I think of situations that might drastically change the market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Whether it's a war where many lives are mercilessly taken or a major disaster, from an investment perspective, it's just one event.","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1133,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1134","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ja","en"],"languages":{"ja":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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