{"id":2072,"date":"2026-03-04T19:08:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T18:08:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inv.jp\/?p=2072"},"modified":"2026-03-04T19:08:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-04T18:08:44","slug":"bt019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inv.jp\/en\/backtest\/bt019\/","title":{"rendered":"Backtest 019 \u2013 Daily Flag \/ Wedge Breakout Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Page Creation Date: 2026.03.04<br \/>\nLast Updated: 2026.03.04<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style3a\">Backtest019 \u2013 Daily Flag \/ Wedge Breakout Trade<\/h3>\n<p>Environment:<br \/>\n\u30fbSwing trading<br \/>\n\u30fbDaily chart only<br \/>\n\u30fbFlag\/Wedge breakout in the direction of the weekly trend<\/p>\n<p>Entry:<br \/>\nWhen a daily flag\/wedge (pennant) breaks out in the direction of the trend:<br \/>\n\u30fbIf a recent high (low) is nearby, enter on the breakout.<br \/>\n\u30fbIf the Bollinger Bands middle line (BB middle) is nearby, enter on breakout in the anticipated direction.<br \/>\n\u30fbAdjust position size according to the number of resistance lines (number of daily key levels + 1).<\/p>\n<p>Exit:<br \/>\n\u30fbTake partial profits each time price exceeds a daily resistance line<br \/>\n\u30fbClose all positions except one at the origin of the flag or pennant<br \/>\n\u30fbFor the remaining one position, take profit at the daily close where the candle body clearly breaks the support\/resistance flip level (for convenience)<\/p>\n<p>Stop Loss:<br \/>\n\u30fbBelow (above) the most recent support line.<br \/>\n\u30fbAfter reaching the first target, move the stop-loss of the remaining positions to breakeven.<\/p>\n<p>\u30fbVerification result timestamps are in GMT+2<\/p>\n<p>Memo:<br \/>\n\u30fbPosition sizing must be adjusted according to stop-loss width.<\/p>\n<p>Example: 2024.11.06 (GMT+2)<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/inv.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/SnapCrab_NoName_2026-3-5_2-30-51_No-00.png\" alt=\"verification example 019 EURUSD\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 2255px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 2255\/1087;\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"style3a\">Results<\/h3>\n<div class=\"sv\">\n<iframe data-src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vS6shoKb5S_GrGbfZNlLVdWiHMk-i9tZYV1nUWwc7lklSA9FpgD0em66on6eRRBOkbXA_K_k7_KIkCC\/pubhtml?widget=true&amp;headers=false\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" data-load-mode=\"1\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"spacer\"><\/div>\n<p>Notes:<\/p>\n<p>EUR\/USD:<br \/>\n\u30fbUsable: <strong>YES<\/strong><br \/>\n\u30fbProfit Factor (PF): 31.2<br \/>\n\u30fbTotal profit: 5004.7 pips<br \/>\n\u30fbTotal loss: 160 pips<br \/>\n\u30fbBreakeven exits: 41.00% (41\/100), (*2025.05 \u2013 2017.12, approx. 7 years 6 months)<br \/>\n\u30fbWin rate: 51.00% (51\/100)<br \/>\n\u30fbTrade opportunities: 1.11 per month, Minimum: 0\/month (e.g., 2025.03), Maximum: 6\/month (e.g., 2019.03).<br \/>\n\u30fbMaximum drawdown: 3 consecutive losses (-60 pips, 2023.12.26; excluding breakeven trades, maximum 3 consecutive stop-losses)<\/p>\n<p>\u30fbAn adaptation of Matt Petrallia\u2019s trading method. Judged as usable, but conditional. The conditions are as follows:<br \/>\nTrade opportunities are extremely limited. Getting one opportunity per month is already good, so it is essential to monitor other currency pairs and instruments, and to combine this with other trading strategies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Backtest019 \u2013 Daily Flag \/ Wedge Breakout Trade\r\nEnvironment:\r\n\u30fbSwing trading\r\n\u30fbDaily chart only\r\n\u30fbFlag\/Wedge breakout in the direction of the weekly trend","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-backtest"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ja","en"],"languages":{"ja":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":true}}},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Backtest 019 \u2013 Daily Flag \/ Wedge Breakout Trade - inv.jp | my backtesting notes<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Results of FX strategy verification. 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